Why does Israel exaggerate the Iranian threat?











Israel is an artificial political entity that can not live without existential danger, whether real or imagined. Seventy years after its creation, its geographical expansion and its enormous military capability, it has always fueled the threat that has become part of its defense doctrine and security policies.

But for a long time, intimidation has become a threat to the existence of Israel as a tool in the service of goals that are not always connected to security threats and have become a means of serving domestic political goals of a propaganda or incitement nature or targets related to financial allocations, The Israeli army, or to justify the failure to provide economic advances to poor social classes and, most importantly, to maintain a certain degree of self-concern in order to mobilize the Israeli public in the face of risks.

 The threat of my existence also serves as a traditional Israeli foreign policy, seeking to draw the sympathy of the international community by portraying Israel as a small country surrounded by a sea of ​​hostile Arab states.

Within this context, the Israeli campaign against Iran's growing military presence in Syria, Iran's building of military bases there, and the installation of Iranian Shi'ite militias near the border on the Golan Heights could also be introduced.

A few years earlier, we saw a frantic Israeli campaign against the threat of Iran acquiring a nuclear bomb. No one can forget the speech of Benjamin Netanyahu at the 67th session of the United Nations, carrying a drawing of an Iranian nuclear bomb, warning the world of the danger of Iran becoming a nuclear state. But all these scandals did not work. If the world signs in 2015, just three years after Netanyahu's rhetorical speech, a nuclear deal with Iran.

This time, Israeli intimidation centers on the danger of the Iranian military presence in Syria on two fundamental issues: the building of Iranian military bases in Syria; the deployment of a sophisticated Iranian missile system there, covering Hezbollah's missile arsenal in Lebanon with all the "Israeli" territory, The former reality, creates a new deterrent balance.

Israel recognizes that the regime of Bashar al-Assad emerged victorious from the civil war in Syria, and that the biggest winner in this war are Iran and Russia. Today, it is recognized by more than one Israeli expert and researcher that it is the loser in this war, not because of Bashar Assad's steadfastness in office.

 In its opinion, remains a "devil" you know better than demons you do not know, but because of the consequences of this steadfastness, which Assad owes, above all, to the Iranians and Shiite militias that follow orders, the rise of Iranian military and political influence in the region, Three basic confrontation fronts are essential, from the point of view of Israel, Syria, Lebanon and Gaza.

According to the security leadership in Israel, the northern front is the greatest threat to Israel in 2018, especially because of the growing Iranian military presence in Syria and Lebanon, and the possibility of using this presence as a deterrent against any future Israeli military operation targeting Iranian nuclear facilities.

What these officials do not mention is that Israeli-Russian coordination in Syria imposes restrictions and invisible restraints on this Iranian presence. The most blatant proof of this is the Russian view of the Israeli raids inside Syrian territory, the latest attack near Damascus, which was targeted, according to Israeli press sources, an Iranian military camp.

But if the air attacks against Iranian positions are a warning and a stepped-up escalation, knowing that the Iranian military presence may be a factor that threatens the internal stability in more than

A much more Arab state than Israel. It is true that the prospect of deploying a sophisticated Iranian missile system in Syria near the border in the Golan will create a new balance of deterrence there, but it is unlikely to be a pretext for an Israeli-Iranian confrontation in Syria or Lebanon.

 As evidence of the Israeli behavior towards the increase of Hezbollah's missile force on the southern border with "Israel" during the last decade, and Israel's threat of a devastating war against Lebanon, if the party used these missiles, without destroying the missile capability of Hezbollah, Will be paid by Israeli civilians.

Again, it seems that the Israeli intimidation of the Iranian military presence in Syria exaggerations and exaggerations placed by Israel in the service of foreign policies and internal security. Israel recognizes that it is facing a new strategic reality in the region, requiring a new military approach to the new risks. But it seems to be still using old tools, including the threat of existential danger, to counter the changes that have taken place.
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